NASDAQ
PAYP lockup expiration
PayPay Corp
Price Action
IPO-to-unlock performance
Key Windows
Five sessions before and after
Outside loaded price range.
Outside loaded price range.
Timing Scenarios
$100 short/put vs long/call payoff proxy
Each table compares $100 bearish and bullish trades across the 14 trading sessions before and after the lockup milestone using closing prices only. It excludes option premium, spread, borrow cost, assignment, and taxes.
| Offset | Trade Date | Entry | Exit | Stock Move | Short/Put P/L | Short/Put Value | Long/Call P/L | Long/Call Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -14 | 2026-05-22 | $19.08 | $13.51 | -29.19% | +$29.19 | $129.19 | -$29.19 | $70.81 |
| -13 | 2026-05-26 | $19.60 | $13.51 | -31.07% | +$31.07 | $131.07 | -$31.07 | $68.93 |
| -12 | 2026-05-27 | $19.30 | $13.51 | -30.00% | +$30.00 | $130.00 | -$30.00 | $70.00 |
| -11 | 2026-05-28 | $19.72 | $13.51 | -31.49% | +$31.49 | $131.49 | -$31.49 | $68.51 |
| -10 | 2026-05-29 | $19.50 | $13.51 | -30.72% | +$30.72 | $130.72 | -$30.72 | $69.28 |
| -9 | 2026-05-30 | $19.66 | $13.51 | -31.28% | +$31.28 | $131.28 | -$31.28 | $68.72 |
| -8 | 2026-06-01 | $18.62 | $13.51 | -27.44% | +$27.44 | $127.44 | -$27.44 | $72.56 |
| -7 | 2026-06-02 | $18.78 | $13.51 | -28.06% | +$28.06 | $128.06 | -$28.06 | $71.94 |
| -6 | 2026-06-03 | $17.00 | $13.51 | -20.53% | +$20.53 | $120.53 | -$20.53 | $79.47 |
| -5 | 2026-06-04 | $15.74 | $13.51 | -14.14% | +$14.14 | $114.14 | -$14.14 | $85.86 |
| -4 | 2026-06-05 | $15.00 | $13.51 | -9.93% | +$9.93 | $109.93 | -$9.93 | $90.07 |
| -3 | 2026-06-06 | $15.74 | $13.51 | -14.17% | +$14.17 | $114.17 | -$14.17 | $85.83 |
| -2 | 2026-06-08 | $15.19 | $13.51 | -11.06% | +$11.06 | $111.06 | -$11.06 | $88.94 |
| -1 | 2026-06-09 | $14.60 | $13.51 | -7.47% | +$7.47 | $107.47 | -$7.47 | $92.53 |
| 0 | 2026-06-10 | $13.51 | $13.51 | 0.00% | +$0.00 | $100.00 | +$0.00 | $100.00 |
| +1 | 2026-06-11 | $13.51 | $14.36 | 6.29% | -$6.29 | $93.71 | +$6.29 | $106.29 |
| +2 | 2026-06-12 | $13.51 | $14.15 | 4.74% | -$4.74 | $95.26 | +$4.74 | $104.74 |
| +3 | 2026-06-15 | $13.51 | $14.24 | 5.40% | -$5.40 | $94.60 | +$5.40 | $105.40 |
Outside loaded price range.
Outside loaded price range.
Lock-up Strategy
Trading framework
Pre-unlock monitoring: Verify SEC filing first. Latest close is 5.40% above the recent floor.
Date is estimated. Check S-1 sections such as Shares Eligible for Future Sale and Underwriting.
Pre-unlock 30-day return: 0.00%; post-unlock return: n/a.
Need daily volume before and after the lock-up date to measure selling pressure.
Latest close has not yet shown both proximity to a recent low and short-term stabilization.
This app should compare post-IPO earnings, revenue, cash burn, and guidance once fundamentals are connected.
Signal framework only. This is not investment advice; SEC filing review and fundamentals should be checked before acting.
Events
Unlock schedule
| Date | Type | Shares | UPI | Risk | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | ipo_lockup | 57,076,592 | 73.90 | Moderate | estimated |
SEC
Reviewed filings
No SEC filings attached yet.