NASDAQ NMS - GLOBAL MARKET
MDLN lockup expiration
Medline Inc ยท Health Care
Price Action
IPO-to-unlock performance
Key Windows
Five sessions before and after
Outside loaded price range.
Timing Scenarios
$100 short/put vs long/call payoff proxy
Each table compares $100 bearish and bullish trades across the 14 trading sessions before and after the lockup milestone using closing prices only. It excludes option premium, spread, borrow cost, assignment, and taxes.
| Offset | Trade Date | Entry | Exit | Stock Move | Short/Put P/L | Short/Put Value | Long/Call P/L | Long/Call Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -14 | 2026-02-25 | $48.00 | $42.00 | -12.50% | +$12.50 | $112.50 | -$12.50 | $87.50 |
| -13 | 2026-02-26 | $48.89 | $42.00 | -14.09% | +$14.09 | $114.09 | -$14.09 | $85.91 |
| -12 | 2026-02-27 | $47.48 | $42.00 | -11.53% | +$11.53 | $111.53 | -$11.53 | $88.47 |
| -11 | 2026-03-02 | $46.00 | $42.00 | -8.70% | +$8.70 | $108.70 | -$8.70 | $91.30 |
| -10 | 2026-03-03 | $44.00 | $42.00 | -4.55% | +$4.55 | $104.55 | -$4.55 | $95.45 |
| -9 | 2026-03-04 | $43.00 | $42.00 | -2.33% | +$2.33 | $102.33 | -$2.33 | $97.67 |
| -8 | 2026-03-05 | $44.04 | $42.00 | -4.62% | +$4.62 | $104.62 | -$4.62 | $95.38 |
| -7 | 2026-03-06 | $43.82 | $42.00 | -4.15% | +$4.15 | $104.15 | -$4.15 | $95.85 |
| -6 | 2026-03-09 | $43.42 | $42.00 | -3.27% | +$3.27 | $103.27 | -$3.27 | $96.73 |
| -5 | 2026-03-10 | $42.84 | $42.00 | -1.96% | +$1.96 | $101.96 | -$1.96 | $98.04 |
| -4 | 2026-03-11 | $42.00 | $42.00 | 0.00% | +$0.00 | $100.00 | +$0.00 | $100.00 |
| -3 | 2026-03-12 | $41.06 | $42.00 | 2.30% | -$2.30 | $97.70 | +$2.30 | $102.30 |
| -2 | 2026-03-13 | $41.00 | $42.00 | 2.44% | -$2.44 | $97.56 | +$2.44 | $102.44 |
| -1 | 2026-03-16 | $42.00 | $42.00 | 0.00% | +$0.00 | $100.00 | +$0.00 | $100.00 |
| 0 | 2026-03-17 | $42.00 | $42.00 | 0.00% | +$0.00 | $100.00 | +$0.00 | $100.00 |
| +1 | 2026-03-18 | $42.00 | $42.23 | 0.55% | -$0.55 | $99.45 | +$0.55 | $100.55 |
| +2 | 2026-03-19 | $42.00 | $43.58 | 3.75% | -$3.75 | $96.25 | +$3.75 | $103.75 |
| +3 | 2026-03-20 | $42.00 | $42.69 | 1.64% | -$1.64 | $98.36 | +$1.64 | $101.64 |
| +4 | 2026-03-21 | $42.00 | $43.59 | 3.79% | -$3.79 | $96.21 | +$3.79 | $103.79 |
| +5 | 2026-03-23 | $42.00 | $42.00 | 0.00% | +$0.00 | $100.00 | +$0.00 | $100.00 |
| +6 | 2026-03-24 | $42.00 | $42.03 | 0.07% | -$0.07 | $99.93 | +$0.07 | $100.07 |
| +7 | 2026-03-25 | $42.00 | $42.65 | 1.55% | -$1.55 | $98.45 | +$1.55 | $101.55 |
| +8 | 2026-03-26 | $42.00 | $42.24 | 0.57% | -$0.57 | $99.43 | +$0.57 | $100.57 |
| +9 | 2026-03-27 | $42.00 | $41.35 | -1.55% | +$1.55 | $101.55 | -$1.55 | $98.45 |
| +10 | 2026-03-30 | $42.00 | $42.63 | 1.50% | -$1.50 | $98.50 | +$1.50 | $101.50 |
| +11 | 2026-03-31 | $42.00 | $44.51 | 5.98% | -$5.98 | $94.02 | +$5.98 | $105.98 |
| +12 | 2026-04-01 | $42.00 | $44.02 | 4.80% | -$4.80 | $95.20 | +$4.80 | $104.80 |
| +13 | 2026-04-02 | $42.00 | $44.00 | 4.76% | -$4.76 | $95.24 | +$4.76 | $104.76 |
| +14 | 2026-04-06 | $42.00 | $43.90 | 4.51% | -$4.51 | $95.49 | +$4.51 | $104.51 |
| Offset | Trade Date | Entry | Exit | Stock Move | Short/Put P/L | Short/Put Value | Long/Call P/L | Long/Call Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -14 | 2026-05-28 | $36.81 | $37.35 | 1.47% | -$1.47 | $98.53 | +$1.47 | $101.47 |
| -13 | 2026-05-29 | $36.53 | $37.35 | 2.23% | -$2.23 | $97.77 | +$2.23 | $102.23 |
| -12 | 2026-05-30 | $36.65 | $37.35 | 1.90% | -$1.90 | $98.10 | +$1.90 | $101.90 |
| -11 | 2026-06-01 | $35.77 | $37.35 | 4.40% | -$4.40 | $95.60 | +$4.40 | $104.40 |
| -10 | 2026-06-02 | $33.21 | $37.35 | 12.45% | -$12.45 | $87.55 | +$12.45 | $112.45 |
| -9 | 2026-06-03 | $34.43 | $37.35 | 8.47% | -$8.47 | $91.53 | +$8.47 | $108.47 |
| -8 | 2026-06-04 | $34.45 | $37.35 | 8.40% | -$8.40 | $91.60 | +$8.40 | $108.40 |
| -7 | 2026-06-05 | $33.60 | $37.35 | 11.15% | -$11.15 | $88.85 | +$11.15 | $111.15 |
| -6 | 2026-06-06 | $34.45 | $37.35 | 8.40% | -$8.40 | $91.60 | +$8.40 | $108.40 |
| -5 | 2026-06-08 | $33.80 | $37.35 | 10.50% | -$10.50 | $89.50 | +$10.50 | $110.50 |
| -4 | 2026-06-09 | $36.02 | $37.35 | 3.69% | -$3.69 | $96.31 | +$3.69 | $103.69 |
| -3 | 2026-06-10 | $36.54 | $37.35 | 2.20% | -$2.20 | $97.80 | +$2.20 | $102.20 |
| -2 | 2026-06-11 | $37.13 | $37.35 | 0.58% | -$0.58 | $99.42 | +$0.58 | $100.58 |
| -1 | 2026-06-12 | $36.62 | $37.35 | 1.99% | -$1.99 | $98.01 | +$1.99 | $101.99 |
| 0 | 2026-06-15 | $37.35 | $37.35 | 0.00% | +$0.00 | $100.00 | +$0.00 | $100.00 |
Outside loaded price range.
Lock-up Strategy
Trading framework
Dust-settling window: Verify SEC filing first. Volume pressure is 1.82x baseline. Latest close is 11.15% above the recent floor.
Date is estimated. Check S-1 sections such as Shares Eligible for Future Sale and Underwriting.
Pre-unlock 30-day return: 3.28%; post-unlock return: 0.00%.
Post-unlock average volume is 1.82x the 30-day pre-unlock baseline.
Latest close has not yet shown both proximity to a recent low and short-term stabilization.
This app should compare post-IPO earnings, revenue, cash burn, and guidance once fundamentals are connected.
Signal framework only. This is not investment advice; SEC filing review and fundamentals should be checked before acting.
Events
Unlock schedule
| Date | Type | Shares | UPI | Risk | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | ipo_lockup | 104,717,617 | 92.70 | High | estimated |
SEC
Reviewed filings
No SEC filings attached yet.