NASDAQ NMS - GLOBAL MARKET
AIRO Group Holdings Inc ยท Aerospace & Defense
Price Action
Key Windows
Timing Scenarios
Each table compares $100 bearish and bullish trades across the 14 trading sessions before and after the lockup milestone using closing prices only. It excludes option premium, spread, borrow cost, assignment, and taxes.
| Offset | Trade Date | Entry | Exit | Stock Move | Short/Put P/L | Short/Put Value | Long/Call P/L | Long/Call Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -14 | 2025-08-21 | $23.00 | $20.00 | -13.04% | +$13.04 | $113.04 | -$13.04 | $86.96 |
| -13 | 2025-08-22 | $24.00 | $20.00 | -16.67% | +$16.67 | $116.67 | -$16.67 | $83.33 |
| -12 | 2025-08-25 | $23.00 | $20.00 | -13.04% | +$13.04 | $113.04 | -$13.04 | $86.96 |
| -11 | 2025-08-26 | $23.00 | $20.00 | -13.04% | +$13.04 | $113.04 | -$13.04 | $86.96 |
| -10 | 2025-08-27 | $24.00 | $20.00 | -16.67% | +$16.67 | $116.67 | -$16.67 | $83.33 |
| -9 | 2025-08-28 | $26.00 | $20.00 | -23.08% | +$23.08 | $123.08 | -$23.08 | $76.92 |
| -8 | 2025-08-29 | $23.97 | $20.00 | -16.56% | +$16.56 | $116.56 | -$16.56 | $83.44 |
| -7 | 2025-09-02 | $21.00 | $20.00 | -4.76% | +$4.76 | $104.76 | -$4.76 | $95.24 |
| -6 | 2025-09-03 | $20.37 | $20.00 | -1.82% | +$1.82 | $101.82 | -$1.82 | $98.18 |
| -5 | 2025-09-04 | $20.77 | $20.00 | -3.71% | +$3.71 | $103.71 | -$3.71 | $96.29 |
| -4 | 2025-09-05 | $21.00 | $20.00 | -4.76% | +$4.76 | $104.76 | -$4.76 | $95.24 |
| -3 | 2025-09-08 | $20.00 | $20.00 | 0.00% | +$0.00 | $100.00 | +$0.00 | $100.00 |
| -2 | 2025-09-09 | $19.27 | $20.00 | 3.79% | -$3.79 | $96.21 | +$3.79 | $103.79 |
| -1 | 2025-09-10 | $19.47 | $20.00 | 2.72% | -$2.72 | $97.28 | +$2.72 | $102.72 |
| 0 | 2025-09-11 | $20.00 | $20.00 | 0.00% | +$0.00 | $100.00 | +$0.00 | $100.00 |
| +1 | 2025-09-12 | $20.00 | $20.00 | 0.00% | +$0.00 | $100.00 | +$0.00 | $100.00 |
| +2 | 2025-09-15 | $20.00 | $20.00 | 0.00% | +$0.00 | $100.00 | +$0.00 | $100.00 |
| +3 | 2025-09-16 | $20.00 | $20.00 | 0.00% | +$0.00 | $100.00 | +$0.00 | $100.00 |
| +4 | 2025-09-17 | $20.00 | $19.00 | -5.00% | +$5.00 | $105.00 | -$5.00 | $95.00 |
| +5 | 2025-09-18 | $20.00 | $19.89 | -0.57% | +$0.57 | $100.58 | -$0.57 | $99.43 |
| +6 | 2025-09-19 | $20.00 | $20.00 | 0.00% | +$0.00 | $100.00 | +$0.00 | $100.00 |
| +7 | 2025-09-22 | $20.00 | $20.00 | 0.00% | +$0.00 | $100.00 | +$0.00 | $100.00 |
| +8 | 2025-09-23 | $20.00 | $19.69 | -1.55% | +$1.55 | $101.55 | -$1.55 | $98.45 |
| +9 | 2025-09-24 | $20.00 | $19.00 | -5.00% | +$5.00 | $105.00 | -$5.00 | $95.00 |
| +10 | 2025-09-25 | $20.00 | $19.00 | -5.00% | +$5.00 | $105.00 | -$5.00 | $95.00 |
| +11 | 2025-09-26 | $20.00 | $19.08 | -4.60% | +$4.60 | $104.60 | -$4.60 | $95.40 |
| +12 | 2025-09-29 | $20.00 | $19.02 | -4.90% | +$4.90 | $104.90 | -$4.90 | $95.10 |
| +13 | 2025-09-30 | $20.00 | $19.00 | -5.00% | +$5.00 | $105.00 | -$5.00 | $95.00 |
| +14 | 2025-10-01 | $20.00 | $20.00 | 0.00% | +$0.00 | $100.00 | +$0.00 | $100.00 |
| Offset | Trade Date | Entry | Exit | Stock Move | Short/Put P/L | Short/Put Value | Long/Call P/L | Long/Call Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -14 | 2025-11-19 | $9.00 | $9.73 | 8.11% | -$8.11 | $91.89 | +$8.11 | $108.11 |
| -13 | 2025-11-20 | $8.00 | $9.73 | 21.63% | -$21.63 | $78.38 | +$21.63 | $121.63 |
| -12 | 2025-11-21 | $8.00 | $9.73 | 21.63% | -$21.63 | $78.38 | +$21.63 | $121.63 |
| -11 | 2025-11-24 | $8.00 | $9.73 | 21.63% | -$21.63 | $78.38 | +$21.63 | $121.63 |
| -10 | 2025-11-25 | $7.83 | $9.73 | 24.27% | -$24.27 | $75.73 | +$24.27 | $124.27 |
| -9 | 2025-11-26 | $8.00 | $9.73 | 21.63% | -$21.63 | $78.38 | +$21.63 | $121.63 |
| -8 | 2025-11-28 | $8.64 | $9.73 | 12.62% | -$12.62 | $87.38 | +$12.62 | $112.62 |
| -7 | 2025-12-01 | $8.20 | $9.73 | 18.66% | -$18.66 | $81.34 | +$18.66 | $118.66 |
| -6 | 2025-12-02 | $8.28 | $9.73 | 17.51% | -$17.51 | $82.49 | +$17.51 | $117.51 |
| -5 | 2025-12-03 | $8.73 | $9.73 | 11.45% | -$11.45 | $88.55 | +$11.45 | $111.45 |
| -4 | 2025-12-04 | $9.59 | $9.73 | 1.46% | -$1.46 | $98.54 | +$1.46 | $101.46 |
| -3 | 2025-12-05 | $9.47 | $9.73 | 2.75% | -$2.75 | $97.25 | +$2.75 | $102.75 |
| -2 | 2025-12-08 | $9.69 | $9.73 | 0.41% | -$0.41 | $99.59 | +$0.41 | $100.41 |
| -1 | 2025-12-09 | $9.59 | $9.73 | 1.51% | -$1.51 | $98.49 | +$1.51 | $101.51 |
| 0 | 2025-12-10 | $9.73 | $9.73 | 0.00% | +$0.00 | $100.00 | +$0.00 | $100.00 |
| +1 | 2025-12-11 | $9.73 | $9.68 | -0.51% | +$0.51 | $100.51 | -$0.51 | $99.49 |
| +2 | 2025-12-12 | $9.73 | $8.00 | -17.78% | +$17.78 | $117.78 | -$17.78 | $82.22 |
| +3 | 2025-12-15 | $9.73 | $8.00 | -17.78% | +$17.78 | $117.78 | -$17.78 | $82.22 |
| +4 | 2025-12-16 | $9.73 | $7.68 | -21.07% | +$21.07 | $121.07 | -$21.07 | $78.93 |
| +5 | 2025-12-17 | $9.73 | $7.42 | -23.79% | +$23.79 | $123.79 | -$23.79 | $76.21 |
| +6 | 2025-12-18 | $9.73 | $7.40 | -23.95% | +$23.95 | $123.95 | -$23.95 | $76.05 |
| +7 | 2025-12-19 | $9.73 | $8.04 | -17.37% | +$17.37 | $117.37 | -$17.37 | $82.63 |
| +8 | 2025-12-22 | $9.73 | $9.00 | -7.50% | +$7.50 | $107.50 | -$7.50 | $92.50 |
| +9 | 2025-12-23 | $9.73 | $9.21 | -5.34% | +$5.34 | $105.34 | -$5.34 | $94.66 |
| +10 | 2025-12-24 | $9.73 | $9.37 | -3.75% | +$3.75 | $103.75 | -$3.75 | $96.25 |
| +11 | 2025-12-26 | $9.73 | $9.00 | -7.50% | +$7.50 | $107.50 | -$7.50 | $92.50 |
| +12 | 2025-12-29 | $9.73 | $8.36 | -14.08% | +$14.08 | $114.08 | -$14.08 | $85.92 |
| +13 | 2025-12-30 | $9.73 | $8.13 | -16.44% | +$16.44 | $116.44 | -$16.44 | $83.56 |
| +14 | 2025-12-31 | $9.73 | $8.00 | -17.78% | +$17.78 | $117.78 | -$17.78 | $82.22 |
| Offset | Trade Date | Entry | Exit | Stock Move | Short/Put P/L | Short/Put Value | Long/Call P/L | Long/Call Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -14 | 2026-05-27 | $7.28 | $8.02 | 10.16% | -$10.16 | $89.84 | +$10.16 | $110.16 |
| -13 | 2026-05-28 | $9.00 | $8.02 | -10.89% | +$10.89 | $110.89 | -$10.89 | $89.11 |
| -12 | 2026-05-29 | $9.00 | $8.02 | -10.89% | +$10.89 | $110.89 | -$10.89 | $89.11 |
| -11 | 2026-05-30 | $9.00 | $8.02 | -10.89% | +$10.89 | $110.89 | -$10.89 | $89.11 |
| -10 | 2026-06-01 | $9.00 | $8.02 | -10.89% | +$10.89 | $110.89 | -$10.89 | $89.11 |
| -9 | 2026-06-02 | $9.46 | $8.02 | -15.18% | +$15.18 | $115.18 | -$15.18 | $84.82 |
| -8 | 2026-06-03 | $9.20 | $8.02 | -12.83% | +$12.83 | $112.83 | -$12.83 | $87.17 |
| -7 | 2026-06-04 | $9.36 | $8.02 | -14.27% | +$14.27 | $114.27 | -$14.27 | $85.73 |
| -6 | 2026-06-05 | $8.20 | $8.02 | -2.20% | +$2.20 | $102.20 | -$2.20 | $97.80 |
| -5 | 2026-06-06 | $9.37 | $8.02 | -14.41% | +$14.41 | $114.41 | -$14.41 | $85.59 |
| -4 | 2026-06-08 | $8.39 | $8.02 | -4.41% | +$4.41 | $104.41 | -$4.41 | $95.59 |
| -3 | 2026-06-09 | $8.64 | $8.02 | -7.18% | +$7.18 | $107.18 | -$7.18 | $92.82 |
| -2 | 2026-06-10 | $8.00 | $8.02 | 0.25% | -$0.25 | $99.75 | +$0.25 | $100.25 |
| -1 | 2026-06-11 | $8.49 | $8.02 | -5.54% | +$5.54 | $105.54 | -$5.54 | $94.46 |
| 0 | 2026-06-12 | $8.02 | $8.02 | 0.00% | +$0.00 | $100.00 | +$0.00 | $100.00 |
| +1 | 2026-06-15 | $8.02 | $8.15 | 1.62% | -$1.62 | $98.38 | +$1.62 | $101.62 |
Lock-up Strategy
Post-lock-up absorption: Verify SEC filing first. Volume pressure is 0.93x baseline. Latest close is 1.88% above the recent floor.
Date is estimated. Check S-1 sections such as Shares Eligible for Future Sale and Underwriting.
Pre-unlock 30-day return: -30.50%; post-unlock return: -16.24%.
Post-unlock average volume is 0.93x the 30-day pre-unlock baseline.
Latest close has not yet shown both proximity to a recent low and short-term stabilization.
This app should compare post-IPO earnings, revenue, cash burn, and guidance once fundamentals are connected.
Signal framework only. This is not investment advice; SEC filing review and fundamentals should be checked before acting.
Events
| Date | Type | Shares | UPI | Risk | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-10 | ipo_lockup | 77,968,462 | 93.30 | High | estimated |
SEC
No SEC filings attached yet.